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Why The Nasdaq Rally Suddenly Looks Fragile

Nasdaq, Dow Jones, crude oil prices, and Middle East tensions are creating a more complex backdrop for U.S. equities as investors assess whether the powerful technology-led rally can continue. Razan Hilal, Market Analyst at FOREX.com, examines key technical levels across the Nasdaq and Dow Jones, the impact of rising oil prices, and why liquidity concerns surrounding the upcoming SpaceX IPO could become an important market factor in June.

Razan Hilal
Razan Hilal

DAX forecast: German equities close in on record territory

European equities pushed higher this morning, joining the global rally. Investors are balancing ongoing geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East against the relentless strength of the global technology sector. While European benchmarks have lagged behind Wall Street’s technology-led advance for much of the year, it appears like other areas of the market are catching up a little as risk appetite returns.

DAX forecast: German equities close in on record territory

European equities pushed higher this morning, joining the global rally. Investors are balancing ongoing geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East against the relentless strength of the global technology sector. While European benchmarks have lagged behind Wall Street’s technology-led advance for much of the year, it appears like other areas of the market are catching up a little as risk appetite returns.

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Random GUY

Checking the Timestamp

Checking the Timestamp BODY

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Random GUY

Perspective: Mid-Day Commentary for June 2

June 2 - Stocks opened in negative territory today, before rallying back into the green heading into midday despite firming crude oil prices. The VIX continues to trade near 16 at midday, while the dollar index trades near 99.2 - both trading like a broken record of late. Yields on 10-year Treasuries are trading near 4.46%, while yields on 2-year Treasuries are trading near 4.04%. WTI crude oil is near $94 at midday, while Brent trades near $96 per barrel. The grain and oilseed markets are mostly in the red at midday, with double-digit losses in soybeans and in the hard wheat markets. Notable chart damage is seen in some of these markets, adding to the losses as the Algos trade those signals and the resulting changes in momentum.

Arlan Suderman
Arlan Suderman
  • Grains & Oilseeds

U.S. Soybean Exports Defy Expectations Without China

Strong U.S. soybean demand is challenging one of the market's most entrenched assumptions that China remains the indispensable driver of export performance. While Chinese buying has remained largely absent, crush demand and export activity continue to support a more resilient outlook than many traders anticipated.

Editorial Team
Editorial Team
  • Grains & Oilseeds

Daily Basis Report 6-2

Daily Basis Report - Corn, Bean, Wheat, Meal Basis values around the Midwest

Matt Zeller
Matt Zeller
  • Grains & Oilseeds

CME Cash Market Summary

Daily CME spot dairy market price summary

Dairy Team - Chicago
Dairy Team - Chicago
  • Dairy

Federal Reserve Signals Are Becoming Harder for Dollar Bulls to Ignore

The U.S. dollar recovery is increasingly tied to shifting Federal Reserve expectations rather than outright economic strength. As markets reassess the likelihood of future policy moves, traders are watching labor market data for clues on whether the dollar's recent rebound can be sustained.

Editorial Team
Editorial Team
  • Currencies

Oil Deficits Are Becoming the Market's Bigger Risk

Oil markets may be celebrating the prospect of a U.S.-Iran agreement, but the underlying supply picture remains far tighter than headline reactions suggest. Even in a best-case peace scenario, restoring lost production and export capacity could take months or years.

Editorial Team
Editorial Team
  • Grains & Oilseeds

AI Concentration Echoes Dot-Com Boom-Bust: Will the Ending Differ?

Market concentration has become one of the most important themes in global markets, particularly as a small group of large technology and AI-linked companies continues to account for a significant share of major equity index performance

Matt Weller
Matt Weller
  • Equities

Perspective: Morning Commentary for June 2

June 2 – Stock futures pulled back from Monday’s record performance overnight, along with many of the food- and energy-based commodities as well. AI optimism continues to fuel the run in stocks, along with strong earnings reports, while commodities hit headwinds on renewed peace hopes again. The VIX, Wall Street’s fear index, is again trading at a relatively low 16 this morning, while the dollar index trades near 99.1. Yields on 10-year Treasuries are trading near 4.44% after hitting a three-week low this morning, while yields on 2-year Treasuries are trading near 4.02%. WTI crude oil is trading near $91 per barrel, while Brent trades near $94 per barrel. The grain and oilseed markets were mostly lower overnight, along with energy.

Arlan Suderman
Arlan Suderman
  • Grains & Oilseeds
  • Energy
  • Dairy
  • Renewable Fuels
  • Cocoa
  • Coffee
  • Cotton
  • Sugar
  • Meats & Livestock
  • Forest Products

Daily Momentum Report 6-2

The Study of the Flow of Money. A fast-moving momentum indicator that shows day over day change in momentum all while holding the oversold, overbought quality of an RSI.

Grains Market Intelligence Team -  USA
Grains Market Intelligence Team - USA
  • Grains & Oilseeds

Monday

Weekly Technical Outlook

Mondays from 8:30-9:30am ET

Join Sr. Technical Strategist Michael Boutros for an interactive livestream highlighting key technical levels and setups he’s tracking this week.

Register here

Market Trading Hours

Stay informed with accurate schedules, trading sessions, and impactful updates to optimize your trading strategies worldwide.

Date:
September 7, 2026

Labor/Labour Day

Location:
Canada / United States
Bonds / rates Japanese 10yr